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Add CAISI blog section and operating model series
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‎docs/ai-tool-sprawl-q1-2026/index.html‎

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</head>
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<body>
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<main class="site" aria-label="AI Tool Sprawl report page">
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<section class="section">
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<p class="top-nav">
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<header class="site-header" aria-label="Site header">
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<div class="brand-row">
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<div class="brand-mark">
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<a class="brand-link" href="/">CAISI</a>
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<p class="brand-note">
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Independent research and operating notes on AI agent governance.
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</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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<nav class="global-nav" aria-label="Primary">
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<a class="nav-link" href="/">Home</a>
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<a class="nav-link current" href="/ai-tool-sprawl-q1-2026/">Research</a>
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<a class="nav-link" href="/blog/">Blog</a>
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<a class="nav-link" href="/#about-heading">About</a>
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<a class="nav-link" href="/#contact-heading">Contact</a>
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</nav>
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</header>
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<section class="section hero">
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<p class="breadcrumbs">
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<a href="/">Home</a>
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<span class="meta-sep">|</span>
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<a href="/openclaw-2026/">OpenClaw 2026</a>
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<span class="divider">/</span>
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<span>Research</span>
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<span class="divider">/</span>
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<span>The State of AI Tool Sprawl</span>
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</p>
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<p class="kicker">Flagship Research Report - In Progress</p>
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<h1>The State of AI Tool Sprawl, Q1 2026</h1>
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<p class="eyebrow">Flagship Research Build</p>
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<h1>The State of AI Tool Sprawl</h1>
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<p class="lead">
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Multi-organization measurement of AI tool inventory, approval gaps,
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privilege surface, and regulatory exposure ahead of EU AI Act broad
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enforcement.
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privilege surface, and regulatory exposure. This page tracks the live
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build for the flagship CAISI sprawl study.
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</p>
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<p class="meta">
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety/tree/main/reports/ai-tool-sprawl-q1-2026">Report workspace (GitHub)</a>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety/tree/main/reports/ai-tool-sprawl-q1-2026"
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>Report workspace (GitHub)</a
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>
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<span class="meta-sep">|</span>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety/tree/main/pipelines/sprawl"
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>Sprawl pipeline</a
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>
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<span class="meta-sep">|</span>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety/tree/main/pipelines/sprawl">Sprawl pipeline</a>
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<a href="/blog/ai-engineering-maturity-model/">Read the maturity model</a>
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</p>
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</section>
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<section class="section" aria-labelledby="status">
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<h2 id="status">Current Status</h2>
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<h2 id="status">Current status</h2>
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<div class="research-grid">
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<article class="card">
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<h3 class="card-title tight">Phase</h3>
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<h3>Phase</h3>
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<p class="finding">Data collection and campaign execution in progress.</p>
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</article>
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<article class="card">
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<h3 class="card-title tight">Expected publication window</h3>
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<p class="finding">April 2026 (target window in preregistration).</p>
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<h3>Deterministic claim lock</h3>
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<p class="finding">
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Headline values remain unpublished until strict validation gates
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pass.
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</p>
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</article>
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<article class="card">
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<h3 class="card-title tight">Deterministic claim lock</h3>
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<p class="finding">Headline values remain unpublished until strict validation gates pass.</p>
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<h3>Focus</h3>
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<p class="finding">
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Inventory quality, approval posture, privilege surface, and
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evidence-readiness across tools in active use.
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</p>
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</article>
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<article class="card">
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<h3 class="card-title tight">Regulatory anchor date</h3>
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<p class="finding">EU AI Act broad enforcement: <strong>August 2, 2026</strong>.</p>
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<h3>Publication posture</h3>
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<p class="finding">
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Research artifacts publish only when threshold and claim checks
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pass.
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</p>
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</article>
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</div>
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</section>
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<section class="section" aria-labelledby="what-will-publish">
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<h2 id="what-will-publish">What Will Publish With the Report</h2>
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<h2 id="what-will-publish">What will publish with the report</h2>
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<div class="research-grid">
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<article class="card">
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<h3 class="card-title tight">Research package</h3>
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<p class="finding">Final report PDF, methodology, definitions, study protocol, preregistration, and claims map.</p>
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<h3>Research package</h3>
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<p class="finding">
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Final report PDF, methodology, definitions, study protocol,
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preregistration, and claims map.
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</p>
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</article>
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<article class="card">
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<h3 class="card-title tight">Data package</h3>
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<p class="finding">Aggregated findings, tool inventory, privilege map, regulatory gap matrix, and data dictionary.</p>
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<h3>Data package</h3>
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<p class="finding">
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Aggregated findings, tool inventory, privilege map, regulatory
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gap matrix, and data dictionary.
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</p>
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</article>
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<article class="card">
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<h3 class="card-title tight">Executive assets</h3>
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<p class="finding">Executive summary, methodology one-pager, and stat-card copy for distribution.</p>
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<h3>Executive assets</h3>
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<p class="finding">
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Executive summary, methodology one-pager, and stat-card copy for
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distribution.
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</p>
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</article>
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<article class="card">
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<h3 class="card-title tight">Reproducibility artifacts</h3>
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<p class="finding">Run metadata, deterministic query mappings, threshold gate outcomes, and hash manifests.</p>
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<h3>Reproducibility artifacts</h3>
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<p class="finding">
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Run metadata, deterministic query mappings, threshold gate
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outcomes, and hash manifests.
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</p>
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</article>
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</div>
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</section>
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<section class="section" aria-labelledby="available-now">
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<h2 id="available-now">Available Now</h2>
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<h2 id="available-now">Available now</h2>
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<p class="meta">
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety/blob/main/reports/ai-tool-sprawl-q1-2026/methodology.md">Methodology</a>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety/blob/main/reports/ai-tool-sprawl-q1-2026/methodology.md"
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>Methodology</a
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>
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<span class="meta-sep">|</span>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety/blob/main/reports/ai-tool-sprawl-q1-2026/definitions.md">Definitions</a>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety/blob/main/reports/ai-tool-sprawl-q1-2026/definitions.md"
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>Definitions</a
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>
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<span class="meta-sep">|</span>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety/blob/main/reports/ai-tool-sprawl-q1-2026/study-protocol.md">Study protocol</a>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety/blob/main/reports/ai-tool-sprawl-q1-2026/study-protocol.md"
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>Study protocol</a
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>
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<span class="meta-sep">|</span>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety/blob/main/reports/ai-tool-sprawl-q1-2026/preregistration.md">Pre-registration</a>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety/blob/main/reports/ai-tool-sprawl-q1-2026/preregistration.md"
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>Pre-registration</a
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>
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</p>
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</section>
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<section class="section" aria-labelledby="blog-bridge">
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<h2 id="blog-bridge">From the CAISI blog</h2>
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<div class="blog-grid">
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<article class="post-card">
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<p class="post-number">Post 2</p>
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<h3>
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<a href="/blog/repository-runtime-contract/"
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>Your Repository Is the Runtime Contract for Agents</a
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>
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</h3>
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<p>
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Why AI readiness starts with repo design, deterministic commands,
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and validation entry points.
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</p>
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</article>
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<article class="post-card">
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<p class="post-number">Post 10</p>
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<h3>
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<a href="/blog/ai-engineering-maturity-model/"
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>The AI Engineering Maturity Model</a
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>
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</h3>
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<p>
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A staged roadmap from prompt-first experiments to governed,
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evidence-rich autonomy.
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</p>
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</article>
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</div>
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</section>
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<section class="section" aria-labelledby="note">
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<h2 id="note">Notes on Scope</h2>
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<h2 id="note">Notes on scope</h2>
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<p class="body">
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This page tracks a live report build. Claims marked <code>TBD</code>
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remain intentionally unpublished until campaign run artifacts and
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strict validation confirm deterministic reproducibility.
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</p>
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</section>
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<footer class="section" aria-label="Page footer">
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<p class="footer-note">
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The Clyra AI Safety Initiative (CAISI) publishes independent,
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reproducible AI governance research.
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</p>
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<footer class="section article-footer" aria-label="Page footer">
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<div class="footer-links">
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<a href="/">Home</a>
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<span class="meta-sep">|</span>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/wrkr">Wrkr</a>
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<span class="meta-sep">|</span>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/gait">Gait</a>
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<span class="meta-sep">|</span>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety">Full repository</a>
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<span class="divider">|</span>
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<a href="/blog/">Blog</a>
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<span class="divider">|</span>
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<a href="/openclaw-2026/">OpenClaw</a>
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<span class="divider">|</span>
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<a href="https://github.com/Clyra-AI/safety">Repository</a>
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</div>
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<p class="footer-note">
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The sprawl report explains what is running. The blog explains how to
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turn that visibility into a governable operating model.
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</p>
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</footer>
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</main>
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</body>

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