Update paper tags

Author: pmichaillat

content/papers/10.md

@@ -13,9 +13,8 @@ aliases:
     - /tags/kuhnian-model/
     - /tags/scientific-revolutions/
     - /tags/scientific-progress/
-    - /tags/tenure/
-    - /tags/youden-index/
-tags: ["metascience", "social psychology"]
+    - /tags/tenure
+tags: ["metascience", "social psychology", "Youden index"]
 author: ["George Akerlof","Pascal Michaillat"]
 description: "This paper develops a model of science. Due to homophily in promotions, false paradigms may persist when a science has low power. Published in PNAS, 2018." 
 summary: "This paper develops a model of science. It shows that due to homophily in tenure decisions, false paradigms may persist when a science has low power. Low power may come from a lack of evidence, or from a reluctance to base tenure decisions on available evidence." 

content/papers/12.md

@@ -7,8 +7,7 @@ aliases:
     - /uploads/7/0/2/0/70200055/12.pdf
     - /uploads/7/0/2/0/70200055/12p.pdf
     - /tags/significance/
-    - /tags/optimal-stopping/
-    - /tags/bonferroni-correction/
+    - /tags/optimal-stopping
     - /tags/critical-values/
     - /tags/p-hacking/
     - /tags/incentives/
@@ -17,7 +16,7 @@ aliases:
     - /tags/statistical-significance/
     - /tags/type-1-error/
     - /tags/false-positives/
-tags: ["metascience"]
+tags: ["metascience", "Bonferroni correction"]
 author: ["Adam McCloskey","Pascal Michaillat"]
 description: "This paper builds a model of hypothesis testing with p-hacking and gives critical values that are robust to by p-hacking. Published in REStat, 2024." 
 Summary: "This paper builds a model of hypothesis testing with p-hacking and gives critical values that correct the inflated type 1 error rate caused by p-hacking. As a rule of thumb, such robust critical values are classical critical values with one fifth of the significance level."

content/papers/16.md

@@ -3,10 +3,9 @@ title: "Has the Recession Started?"
 date: 2025-12-01
 url: /16/
 aliases:
-    - /tags/sahm-rule/
     - /tags/recession-threshold/
     - /tags/recession-indicator/
-tags: ["Beveridge curve", "business cycles", "job vacancies", "Michez rule", "nowcasting", "recession probability"]
+tags: ["Beveridge curve", "business cycles", "job vacancies", "Michez rule", "nowcasting", "recession probability", "Sahm rule"]
 author: ["Pascal Michaillat","Emmanuel Saez"]
 description: "This paper builds the Michez rule, a fast and robust method to detect US recessions from data on unemployment and job vacancies. Published in OBES, 2025."
 summary: "This paper develops the Michez rule, a fast and robust method to detect US recessions using data on unemployment and job vacancies. In December 2024, the rule gives a recession probability of 27%; this recession risk was first detected in March 2024."

content/papers/3.md

@@ -10,11 +10,10 @@ aliases:
     - /tags/tightness/
     - /tags/demand-shocks/
     - /tags/inequality/
-    - /tags/barro-grossman-model/
     - /tags/product-market-tightness/
     - /tags/labor-market-tightness/
     - /tags/idle-capacity/
-tags: ["business cycles", "economic slack", "Hosios condition", "Keynesian unemployment", "matching model", "market tightness", "price rigidity", "wage rigidity"]
+tags: ["business cycles", "economic slack", "Hosios condition", "Keynesian unemployment", "matching model", "market tightness", "price rigidity", "wage rigidity", "Barro-Grossman model"]
 author: ["Pascal Michaillat","Emmanuel Saez"]
 description: "This paper develops a model of unemployment fluctuations in which the labor and product markets have a matching structure. Published in QJE, 2015." 
 summary: "This paper develops a model of unemployment fluctuations. The innovation is to represent the labor and product markets with a matching structure. The model simultaneously features Keynesian unemployment, classical unemployment, and frictional unemployment." 

content/papers/6.md

@@ -13,8 +13,7 @@ aliases:
     - /tags/nonlinearity/
     - /tags/stabilization-policy/
     - /tags/government-spending/
-    - /tags/samuelson-rule/
-tags: ["business cycles", "fiscal policy", "matching model", "state dependence", "sufficient statistics", "unemployment gap"]
+tags: ["business cycles", "fiscal policy", "matching model", "state dependence", "sufficient statistics", "unemployment gap", "Samuelson rule"]
 author: ["Pascal Michaillat","Emmanuel Saez"]
 description: "This paper shows that public expenditure should deviate from the Samuelson rule to reduce the unemployment gap, when it exists. Published in REStud, 2019." 
 summary: "This paper shows that when unemployment is inefficient, optimal public expenditure deviates from the Samuelson rule to reduce the unemployment gap. Optimal stimulus spending depends on the unemployment gap, unemployment multiplier, and an elasticity of substitution."