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Copy pathparameterEstimates.m
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47 lines (40 loc) · 1.83 KB
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function results = parameterEstimates(logReturnsTable)
% Estimate parameters for TVP-VAR model using MCMC algorithm
% logReturnsTable: table containing log returns data
% Extract numeric data (excluding 'Date' or non-numeric columns)
numericCols = varfun(@isnumeric, logReturnsTable, 'OutputFormat', 'uniform');
numericTable = logReturnsTable(:, numericCols);
% Initialize storage for results
numParams = size(numericTable, 2);
results = table('Size', [numParams, 7], ...
'VariableTypes', repmat({'double'}, 1, 7), ...
'VariableNames', {'Mean', 'Stdev', 'CI_Lower', 'CI_Upper', 'Geweke', 'Inefficiency', 'Parameter'});
% Loop through each numeric column of the table
for i = 1:numParams
data = numericTable{:, i};
% Ensure no missing or NaN values
data = data(~isnan(data));
% Perform MCMC estimation
[meanVal, stdevVal, ci, gewekeStat, ineffFactor] = mcmcEstimation(data);
% Store results
results.Mean(i) = meanVal;
results.Stdev(i) = stdevVal;
results.CI_Lower(i) = ci(1);
results.CI_Upper(i) = ci(2);
results.Geweke(i) = gewekeStat;
results.Inefficiency(i) = ineffFactor;
results.Parameter(i) = i; % Parameter index
end
end
function [meanVal, stdevVal, ci, gewekeStat, ineffFactor] = mcmcEstimation(data)
% Perform MCMC estimation (replace with actual MCMC logic)
% Ensure `data` is a valid numeric array
if isempty(data) || ~isnumeric(data)
error('Data must be a non-empty numeric array.');
end
meanVal = mean(data);
stdevVal = std(data);
ci = quantile(data, [0.025, 0.975]); % 95% credible intervals
gewekeStat = rand(); % Placeholder for Geweke diagnostic
ineffFactor = randi([5, 100]); % Placeholder for inefficiency factor
end