Develop a predictive model correlating climate and economic factors to the emergence of civil unrests (protests).
We are currently using these documents as references:
- Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach
- Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought
We used these datasets as data sources:
- Protest data: from this compilation by Harvard Dataverse
- Agriculture outputs, economic factors: ourworld in data
- Rainfall data: CRU TS datasets
- Ethnic fractionalization index: EUI Research Repository